Rig Tenders (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 594.38

RIGS Stock  IDR 605.00  15.00  2.54%   
Rig Tenders' future price is the expected price of Rig Tenders instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Rig Tenders Tbk performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Rig Tenders Backtesting, Rig Tenders Valuation, Rig Tenders Correlation, Rig Tenders Hype Analysis, Rig Tenders Volatility, Rig Tenders History as well as Rig Tenders Performance.
  
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Rig Tenders Target Price Odds to finish over 594.38

The tendency of Rig Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  594.38  in 90 days
 605.00 90 days 594.38 
about 58.24
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rig Tenders to stay above  594.38  in 90 days from now is about 58.24 (This Rig Tenders Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Rig Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rig Tenders Tbk price to stay between  594.38  and its current price of 605.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Rig Tenders has a beta of 0.0837 indicating as returns on the market go up, Rig Tenders average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Rig Tenders Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Rig Tenders Tbk has an alpha of 0.2201, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Rig Tenders Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Rig Tenders

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rig Tenders Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
602.77605.00607.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
528.43530.66665.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
628.60630.83633.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
554.83591.39627.95
Details

Rig Tenders Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rig Tenders is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rig Tenders' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rig Tenders Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rig Tenders within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
26.30
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Rig Tenders Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rig Tenders for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rig Tenders Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rig Tenders Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Rig Tenders Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rig Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rig Tenders' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rig Tenders' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding609.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.9 M

Rig Tenders Technical Analysis

Rig Tenders' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rig Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rig Tenders Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rig Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Rig Tenders Predictive Forecast Models

Rig Tenders' time-series forecasting models is one of many Rig Tenders' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rig Tenders' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Rig Tenders Tbk

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rig Tenders for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rig Tenders Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rig Tenders Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Rig Stock

Rig Tenders financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rig Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rig with respect to the benefits of owning Rig Tenders security.