Risma Systems (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.05
| RISMA Stock | DKK 6.10 0.30 5.17% |
Risma |
Risma Systems Target Price Odds to finish below 6.05
The tendency of Risma Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 6.05 or more in 90 days |
| 6.10 | 90 days | 6.05 | about 37.4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Risma Systems to drop to kr 6.05 or more in 90 days from now is about 37.4 (This Risma Systems AS probability density function shows the probability of Risma Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Risma Systems AS price to stay between kr 6.05 and its current price of kr6.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Risma Systems has a beta of 0.58 indicating as returns on the market go up, Risma Systems average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Risma Systems AS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Risma Systems AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Risma Systems Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Risma Systems
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Risma Systems AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Risma Systems Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Risma Systems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Risma Systems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Risma Systems AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Risma Systems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Risma Systems Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Risma Systems for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Risma Systems AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Risma Systems AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Risma Systems AS has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Risma Systems AS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Risma Systems until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Risma Systems' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Risma Systems AS sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Risma to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Risma Systems' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Risma Systems AS reported the revenue of 15.02 M. Net Loss for the year was (21.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.77 M. | |
| Risma Systems generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Risma Systems Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Risma Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Risma Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Risma Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 79.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20 M |
Risma Systems Technical Analysis
Risma Systems' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Risma Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Risma Systems AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Risma Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Risma Systems Predictive Forecast Models
Risma Systems' time-series forecasting models is one of many Risma Systems' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Risma Systems' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Risma Systems AS
Checking the ongoing alerts about Risma Systems for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Risma Systems AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Risma Systems AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Risma Systems AS has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Risma Systems AS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Risma Systems until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Risma Systems' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Risma Systems AS sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Risma to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Risma Systems' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Risma Systems AS reported the revenue of 15.02 M. Net Loss for the year was (21.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.77 M. | |
| Risma Systems generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Risma Stock
Risma Systems financial ratios help investors to determine whether Risma Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Risma with respect to the benefits of owning Risma Systems security.