Ci Canadian Reit Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 15.32

RIT Etf  CAD 16.60  0.11  0.67%   
CI Canadian's future price is the expected price of CI Canadian instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CI Canadian REIT performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CI Canadian Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, CI Canadian Correlation, CI Canadian Hype Analysis, CI Canadian Volatility, CI Canadian History as well as CI Canadian Performance.
  
Please specify CI Canadian's target price for which you would like CI Canadian odds to be computed.

CI Canadian Target Price Odds to finish below 15.32

The tendency of RIT Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 15.32  or more in 90 days
 16.60 90 days 15.32 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CI Canadian to drop to C$ 15.32  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CI Canadian REIT probability density function shows the probability of RIT Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CI Canadian REIT price to stay between C$ 15.32  and its current price of C$16.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.75 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CI Canadian has a beta of 0.23 indicating as returns on the market go up, CI Canadian average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CI Canadian REIT will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CI Canadian REIT has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   CI Canadian Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CI Canadian

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CI Canadian REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.8516.6017.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.9916.7417.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.0616.8117.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.2716.5116.76
Details

CI Canadian Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CI Canadian is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CI Canadian's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CI Canadian REIT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CI Canadian within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.52
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

CI Canadian Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CI Canadian for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CI Canadian REIT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CI Canadian REIT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
CI Canadian REIT maintains 92.03% of its assets in stocks

CI Canadian Technical Analysis

CI Canadian's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. RIT Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CI Canadian REIT. In general, you should focus on analyzing RIT Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CI Canadian Predictive Forecast Models

CI Canadian's time-series forecasting models is one of many CI Canadian's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CI Canadian's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CI Canadian REIT

Checking the ongoing alerts about CI Canadian for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CI Canadian REIT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CI Canadian REIT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
CI Canadian REIT maintains 92.03% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in RIT Etf

CI Canadian financial ratios help investors to determine whether RIT Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RIT with respect to the benefits of owning CI Canadian security.