Raymond James Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 128.28
| RJF Stock | USD 165.02 1.24 0.76% |
Raymond |
Raymond James Target Price Odds to finish below 128.28
The tendency of Raymond Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 128.28 or more in 90 days |
| 165.02 | 90 days | 128.28 | about 37.38 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Raymond James to drop to $ 128.28 or more in 90 days from now is about 37.38 (This Raymond James Financial probability density function shows the probability of Raymond Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Raymond James Financial price to stay between $ 128.28 and its current price of $165.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.71 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.34 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Raymond James will likely underperform. Additionally Raymond James Financial has an alpha of 0.4061, implying that it can generate a 0.41 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Raymond James Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Raymond James
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Raymond James Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Raymond James Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Raymond James is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Raymond James' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Raymond James Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Raymond James within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 16.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.23 |
Raymond James Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Raymond James for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Raymond James Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Raymond James Financial has about 6.18 B in cash with (3.51 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 108.93. | |
| Raymond James has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of October 2024 Raymond James paid $ 0.45 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Disposition of 179 shares by Reid Shannon B of Raymond James subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Raymond James Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Raymond Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Raymond James' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Raymond James' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 212.3 M |
Raymond James Technical Analysis
Raymond James' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Raymond Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Raymond James Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Raymond Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Raymond James Predictive Forecast Models
Raymond James' time-series forecasting models is one of many Raymond James' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Raymond James' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Raymond James Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Raymond James for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Raymond James Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Raymond James Financial has about 6.18 B in cash with (3.51 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 108.93. | |
| Raymond James has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of October 2024 Raymond James paid $ 0.45 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Disposition of 179 shares by Reid Shannon B of Raymond James subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Raymond James Backtesting, Raymond James Valuation, Raymond James Correlation, Raymond James Hype Analysis, Raymond James Volatility, Raymond James History as well as Raymond James Performance. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Investment Banking & Brokerage space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Raymond James. If investors know Raymond will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Raymond James listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.417 | Dividend Share 1.8 | Earnings Share 9.7 | Revenue Per Share 61.69 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.132 |
The market value of Raymond James Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Raymond that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Raymond James' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Raymond James' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Raymond James' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Raymond James' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Raymond James' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Raymond James is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Raymond James' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.