Rajthanee Hospital (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 149.88

RJH Stock  THB 22.60  0.60  2.59%   
Rajthanee Hospital's future price is the expected price of Rajthanee Hospital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Rajthanee Hospital Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Rajthanee Hospital Backtesting, Rajthanee Hospital Valuation, Rajthanee Hospital Correlation, Rajthanee Hospital Hype Analysis, Rajthanee Hospital Volatility, Rajthanee Hospital History as well as Rajthanee Hospital Performance.
  
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Rajthanee Hospital Target Price Odds to finish over 149.88

The tendency of Rajthanee Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  149.88  or more in 90 days
 22.60 90 days 149.88 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rajthanee Hospital to move over  149.88  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Rajthanee Hospital Public probability density function shows the probability of Rajthanee Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rajthanee Hospital Public price to stay between its current price of  22.60  and  149.88  at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.06 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Rajthanee Hospital Public has a beta of -0.35 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Rajthanee Hospital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Rajthanee Hospital Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Rajthanee Hospital Public has an alpha of 0.0385, implying that it can generate a 0.0385 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Rajthanee Hospital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Rajthanee Hospital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rajthanee Hospital Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.1322.602,283
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.7314.682,275
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.4924.27151.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.4723.5124.54
Details

Rajthanee Hospital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rajthanee Hospital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rajthanee Hospital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rajthanee Hospital Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rajthanee Hospital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.35
σ
Overall volatility
2.91
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Rajthanee Hospital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rajthanee Hospital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rajthanee Hospital Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rajthanee Hospital is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Rajthanee Hospital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 38.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Rajthanee Hospital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rajthanee Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rajthanee Hospital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rajthanee Hospital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding299.4 M

Rajthanee Hospital Technical Analysis

Rajthanee Hospital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rajthanee Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rajthanee Hospital Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rajthanee Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Rajthanee Hospital Predictive Forecast Models

Rajthanee Hospital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Rajthanee Hospital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rajthanee Hospital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Rajthanee Hospital Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rajthanee Hospital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rajthanee Hospital Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rajthanee Hospital is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Rajthanee Hospital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 38.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Rajthanee Stock

Rajthanee Hospital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rajthanee Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rajthanee with respect to the benefits of owning Rajthanee Hospital security.