Longfor Group (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.65
| RLF Stock | EUR 1.25 0.01 0.79% |
Longfor |
Longfor Group Target Price Odds to finish over 1.65
The tendency of Longfor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 1.65 or more in 90 days |
| 1.25 | 90 days | 1.65 | about 16.61 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Longfor Group to move over € 1.65 or more in 90 days from now is about 16.61 (This Longfor Group Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Longfor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Longfor Group Holdings price to stay between its current price of € 1.25 and € 1.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.96 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Longfor Group has a beta of 0.57 indicating as returns on the market go up, Longfor Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Longfor Group Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Longfor Group Holdings has an alpha of 0.6613, implying that it can generate a 0.66 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Longfor Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Longfor Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Longfor Group Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Longfor Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Longfor Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Longfor Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Longfor Group Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Longfor Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.66 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Longfor Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Longfor Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Longfor Group Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Longfor Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Longfor Group may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Longfor Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Longfor Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Longfor Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Longfor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Longfor Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Longfor Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.1 B |
Longfor Group Technical Analysis
Longfor Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Longfor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Longfor Group Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Longfor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Longfor Group Predictive Forecast Models
Longfor Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Longfor Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Longfor Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Longfor Group Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Longfor Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Longfor Group Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Longfor Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Longfor Group may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Longfor Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Longfor Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Longfor Stock
Longfor Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Longfor Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Longfor with respect to the benefits of owning Longfor Group security.