Rlj Lodging Trust Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 21.32
| RLJ-PA Preferred Stock | USD 25.33 0.05 0.20% |
RLJ |
RLJ Lodging Target Price Odds to finish over 21.32
The tendency of RLJ Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 21.32 in 90 days |
| 25.33 | 90 days | 21.32 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of RLJ Lodging to stay above $ 21.32 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This RLJ Lodging Trust probability density function shows the probability of RLJ Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of RLJ Lodging Trust price to stay between $ 21.32 and its current price of $25.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.75 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon RLJ Lodging has a beta of 0.0497 indicating as returns on the market go up, RLJ Lodging average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding RLJ Lodging Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally RLJ Lodging Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. RLJ Lodging Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for RLJ Lodging
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RLJ Lodging Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.RLJ Lodging Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. RLJ Lodging is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the RLJ Lodging's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold RLJ Lodging Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of RLJ Lodging within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0083 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
RLJ Lodging Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of RLJ Lodging for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for RLJ Lodging Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| RLJ Lodging Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has $2.41 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| The company reported the revenue of 785.66 M. Net Loss for the year was (305.17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 185.34 M. |
RLJ Lodging Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of RLJ Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential RLJ Lodging's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RLJ Lodging's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 114.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.9 B |
RLJ Lodging Technical Analysis
RLJ Lodging's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. RLJ Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of RLJ Lodging Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing RLJ Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
RLJ Lodging Predictive Forecast Models
RLJ Lodging's time-series forecasting models is one of many RLJ Lodging's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary RLJ Lodging's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about RLJ Lodging Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about RLJ Lodging for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for RLJ Lodging Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| RLJ Lodging Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has $2.41 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| The company reported the revenue of 785.66 M. Net Loss for the year was (305.17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 185.34 M. |
Other Information on Investing in RLJ Preferred Stock
RLJ Lodging financial ratios help investors to determine whether RLJ Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RLJ with respect to the benefits of owning RLJ Lodging security.