Richmond Minerals Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0005

RMD Stock  CAD 0.03  0.01  50.00%   
Richmond Minerals' future price is the expected price of Richmond Minerals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Richmond Minerals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Richmond Minerals Backtesting, Richmond Minerals Valuation, Richmond Minerals Correlation, Richmond Minerals Hype Analysis, Richmond Minerals Volatility, Richmond Minerals History as well as Richmond Minerals Performance.
  
Please specify Richmond Minerals' target price for which you would like Richmond Minerals odds to be computed.

Richmond Minerals Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0005

The tendency of Richmond Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 0.0005  or more in 90 days
 0.03 90 days 0.0005 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Richmond Minerals to drop to C$ 0.0005  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Richmond Minerals probability density function shows the probability of Richmond Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Richmond Minerals price to stay between C$ 0.0005  and its current price of C$0.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.33 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Richmond Minerals has a beta of -2.36 indicating as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Richmond Minerals are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Richmond Minerals is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Richmond Minerals has an alpha of 2.4382, implying that it can generate a 2.44 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Richmond Minerals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Richmond Minerals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Richmond Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0317.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0317.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00040.0217.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.020.030.04
Details

Richmond Minerals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Richmond Minerals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Richmond Minerals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Richmond Minerals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Richmond Minerals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
2.44
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.36
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Richmond Minerals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Richmond Minerals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Richmond Minerals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Richmond Minerals is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Richmond Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Richmond Minerals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Richmond Minerals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Richmond Minerals has accumulated 300 K in total debt. Richmond Minerals has a current ratio of 0.31, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Richmond Minerals until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Richmond Minerals' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Richmond Minerals sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Richmond to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Richmond Minerals' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (760.04 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Richmond Minerals has accumulated about (96.58 K) in cash recording (232.56 K) of negative cash flow from operations.
Roughly 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: These 2 Female Climate Tech Founders Are Mining the Riches of the Ocean to Save the Planet - Inc.

Richmond Minerals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Richmond Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Richmond Minerals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Richmond Minerals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding36.2 M

Richmond Minerals Technical Analysis

Richmond Minerals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Richmond Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Richmond Minerals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Richmond Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Richmond Minerals Predictive Forecast Models

Richmond Minerals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Richmond Minerals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Richmond Minerals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Richmond Minerals

Checking the ongoing alerts about Richmond Minerals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Richmond Minerals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Richmond Minerals is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Richmond Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Richmond Minerals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Richmond Minerals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Richmond Minerals has accumulated 300 K in total debt. Richmond Minerals has a current ratio of 0.31, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Richmond Minerals until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Richmond Minerals' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Richmond Minerals sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Richmond to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Richmond Minerals' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (760.04 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Richmond Minerals has accumulated about (96.58 K) in cash recording (232.56 K) of negative cash flow from operations.
Roughly 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: These 2 Female Climate Tech Founders Are Mining the Riches of the Ocean to Save the Planet - Inc.

Additional Tools for Richmond Stock Analysis

When running Richmond Minerals' price analysis, check to measure Richmond Minerals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Richmond Minerals is operating at the current time. Most of Richmond Minerals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Richmond Minerals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Richmond Minerals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Richmond Minerals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.