RMG Acquisition Corp Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.02

RMGCUDelisted Stock  USD 9.40  0.00  0.00%   
RMG Acquisition's future price is the expected price of RMG Acquisition instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of RMG Acquisition Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
  
Please specify RMG Acquisition's target price for which you would like RMG Acquisition odds to be computed.

RMG Acquisition Target Price Odds to finish over 10.02

The tendency of RMG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 10.02  or more in 90 days
 9.40 90 days 10.02 
about 5.31
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of RMG Acquisition to move over $ 10.02  or more in 90 days from now is about 5.31 (This RMG Acquisition Corp probability density function shows the probability of RMG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of RMG Acquisition Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 9.40  and $ 10.02  at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.6 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon RMG Acquisition has a beta of 0.0054 indicating as returns on the market go up, RMG Acquisition average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding RMG Acquisition Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally RMG Acquisition Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   RMG Acquisition Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for RMG Acquisition

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RMG Acquisition Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of RMG Acquisition's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.409.409.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.128.1210.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.419.419.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.409.409.40
Details

RMG Acquisition Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. RMG Acquisition is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the RMG Acquisition's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold RMG Acquisition Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of RMG Acquisition within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.29

RMG Acquisition Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of RMG Acquisition for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for RMG Acquisition Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
RMG Acquisition Corp is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
RMG Acquisition Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
RMG Acquisition Corp has accumulated 500 K in total debt. RMG Acquisition Corp has a current ratio of 0.46, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about RMG Acquisition's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (5.55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
RMG Acquisition Corp has accumulated about 85.89 K in cash with (1.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

RMG Acquisition Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of RMG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential RMG Acquisition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RMG Acquisition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding60.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments22.3 K

RMG Acquisition Technical Analysis

RMG Acquisition's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. RMG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of RMG Acquisition Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing RMG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

RMG Acquisition Predictive Forecast Models

RMG Acquisition's time-series forecasting models is one of many RMG Acquisition's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary RMG Acquisition's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about RMG Acquisition Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about RMG Acquisition for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for RMG Acquisition Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
RMG Acquisition Corp is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
RMG Acquisition Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
RMG Acquisition Corp has accumulated 500 K in total debt. RMG Acquisition Corp has a current ratio of 0.46, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about RMG Acquisition's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (5.55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
RMG Acquisition Corp has accumulated about 85.89 K in cash with (1.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

Other Consideration for investing in RMG Stock

If you are still planning to invest in RMG Acquisition Corp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the RMG Acquisition's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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