Raimon Land (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0

RML Stock  THB 0.31  0.01  3.33%   
Raimon Land's future price is the expected price of Raimon Land instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Raimon Land Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Raimon Land Backtesting, Raimon Land Valuation, Raimon Land Correlation, Raimon Land Hype Analysis, Raimon Land Volatility, Raimon Land History as well as Raimon Land Performance.
  
Please specify Raimon Land's target price for which you would like Raimon Land odds to be computed.

Raimon Land Target Price Odds to finish below 0

The tendency of Raimon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.00  or more in 90 days
 0.31 90 days 0.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Raimon Land to drop to  0.00  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Raimon Land Public probability density function shows the probability of Raimon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Raimon Land Public price to stay between  0.00  and its current price of 0.31 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.68 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Raimon Land has a beta of 0.69 indicating as returns on the market go up, Raimon Land average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Raimon Land Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Raimon Land Public has an alpha of 0.34, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Raimon Land Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Raimon Land

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Raimon Land Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.3165.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.2765.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.30126.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.300.310.32
Details

Raimon Land Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Raimon Land is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Raimon Land's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Raimon Land Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Raimon Land within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.69
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Raimon Land Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Raimon Land for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Raimon Land Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Raimon Land Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Raimon Land Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Raimon Land Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 2.22 B. Net Loss for the year was (452.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 360.28 M.
About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Raimon Land Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Raimon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Raimon Land's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Raimon Land's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.2 B

Raimon Land Technical Analysis

Raimon Land's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Raimon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Raimon Land Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Raimon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Raimon Land Predictive Forecast Models

Raimon Land's time-series forecasting models is one of many Raimon Land's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Raimon Land's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Raimon Land Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Raimon Land for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Raimon Land Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Raimon Land Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Raimon Land Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Raimon Land Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 2.22 B. Net Loss for the year was (452.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 360.28 M.
About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Raimon Stock

Raimon Land financial ratios help investors to determine whether Raimon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Raimon with respect to the benefits of owning Raimon Land security.