Ramsay Health (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 24.11
| RMY Stock | EUR 23.40 0.60 2.50% |
Ramsay |
Ramsay Health Target Price Odds to finish below 24.11
The tendency of Ramsay Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 24.11 after 90 days |
| 23.40 | 90 days | 24.11 | about 32.81 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ramsay Health to stay under € 24.11 after 90 days from now is about 32.81 (This Ramsay Health Care probability density function shows the probability of Ramsay Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ramsay Health Care price to stay between its current price of € 23.40 and € 24.11 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.55 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ramsay Health Care has a beta of -0.37 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ramsay Health are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ramsay Health Care is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ramsay Health Care has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ramsay Health Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ramsay Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ramsay Health Care. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ramsay Health Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ramsay Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ramsay Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ramsay Health Care, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ramsay Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Ramsay Health Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ramsay Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ramsay Health Care can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ramsay Health Care generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ramsay Health Care has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Ramsay Health Care has accumulated 5.17 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 234.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ramsay Health Care has a current ratio of 0.71, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ramsay Health until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ramsay Health's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ramsay Health Care sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ramsay to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ramsay Health's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 22.0% of Ramsay Health outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Ramsay Health Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ramsay Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ramsay Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ramsay Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 228.9 M |
Ramsay Health Technical Analysis
Ramsay Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ramsay Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ramsay Health Care. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ramsay Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ramsay Health Predictive Forecast Models
Ramsay Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ramsay Health's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ramsay Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ramsay Health Care
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ramsay Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ramsay Health Care help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ramsay Health Care generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ramsay Health Care has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Ramsay Health Care has accumulated 5.17 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 234.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ramsay Health Care has a current ratio of 0.71, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ramsay Health until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ramsay Health's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ramsay Health Care sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ramsay to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ramsay Health's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 22.0% of Ramsay Health outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Ramsay Stock
Ramsay Health financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ramsay Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ramsay with respect to the benefits of owning Ramsay Health security.