Ramsay Health Care Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 6.74

RMYHY Stock  USD 6.85  0.58  9.25%   
Ramsay Health's future price is the expected price of Ramsay Health instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ramsay Health Care performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ramsay Health Backtesting, Ramsay Health Valuation, Ramsay Health Correlation, Ramsay Health Hype Analysis, Ramsay Health Volatility, Ramsay Health History as well as Ramsay Health Performance.
  
Please specify Ramsay Health's target price for which you would like Ramsay Health odds to be computed.

Ramsay Health Target Price Odds to finish over 6.74

The tendency of Ramsay Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 6.74  in 90 days
 6.85 90 days 6.74 
about 64.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ramsay Health to stay above $ 6.74  in 90 days from now is about 64.1 (This Ramsay Health Care probability density function shows the probability of Ramsay Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ramsay Health Care price to stay between $ 6.74  and its current price of $6.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.88 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ramsay Health has a beta of 0.31 indicating as returns on the market go up, Ramsay Health average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ramsay Health Care will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ramsay Health Care has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ramsay Health Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ramsay Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ramsay Health Care. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.046.859.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.945.758.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.207.019.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.026.777.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ramsay Health. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ramsay Health's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ramsay Health's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ramsay Health Care.

Ramsay Health Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ramsay Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ramsay Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ramsay Health Care, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ramsay Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
0.36
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Ramsay Health Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ramsay Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ramsay Health Care can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ramsay Health Care generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ramsay Health Care has accumulated 5.17 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.36, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Ramsay Health Care has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ramsay Health until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ramsay Health's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ramsay Health Care sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ramsay to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ramsay Health's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Ramsay Health Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ramsay Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ramsay Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ramsay Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding944 M

Ramsay Health Technical Analysis

Ramsay Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ramsay Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ramsay Health Care. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ramsay Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ramsay Health Predictive Forecast Models

Ramsay Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ramsay Health's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ramsay Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ramsay Health Care

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ramsay Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ramsay Health Care help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ramsay Health Care generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ramsay Health Care has accumulated 5.17 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.36, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Ramsay Health Care has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ramsay Health until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ramsay Health's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ramsay Health Care sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ramsay to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ramsay Health's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Additional Tools for Ramsay Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Ramsay Health's price analysis, check to measure Ramsay Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ramsay Health is operating at the current time. Most of Ramsay Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ramsay Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ramsay Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ramsay Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.