Renaissancere Holdings Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 24.85

RNR-PF Preferred Stock   24.58  0.10  0.41%   
RenaissanceRe Holdings' future price is the expected price of RenaissanceRe Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of RenaissanceRe Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out RenaissanceRe Holdings Backtesting, RenaissanceRe Holdings Valuation, RenaissanceRe Holdings Correlation, RenaissanceRe Holdings Hype Analysis, RenaissanceRe Holdings Volatility, RenaissanceRe Holdings History as well as RenaissanceRe Holdings Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in RenaissanceRe Preferred Stock please use our How to Invest in RenaissanceRe Holdings guide.
  
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RenaissanceRe Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 24.85

The tendency of RenaissanceRe Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  24.85  after 90 days
 24.58 90 days 24.85 
about 85.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of RenaissanceRe Holdings to stay under  24.85  after 90 days from now is about 85.33 (This RenaissanceRe Holdings probability density function shows the probability of RenaissanceRe Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of RenaissanceRe Holdings price to stay between its current price of  24.58  and  24.85  at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.91 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon RenaissanceRe Holdings has a beta of 0.0986 indicating as returns on the market go up, RenaissanceRe Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding RenaissanceRe Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally RenaissanceRe Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   RenaissanceRe Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for RenaissanceRe Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RenaissanceRe Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.0424.4824.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.0824.5224.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.7624.2024.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.2824.4624.65
Details

RenaissanceRe Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. RenaissanceRe Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the RenaissanceRe Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold RenaissanceRe Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of RenaissanceRe Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0079
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.26

RenaissanceRe Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of RenaissanceRe Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for RenaissanceRe Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 5.06 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.16 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (787.92 M).
Latest headline from zacks.com: Disposition of 8008 shares by Axel Andre of Reinsurance Group at 218.54 subject to Rule 16b-3

RenaissanceRe Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of RenaissanceRe Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential RenaissanceRe Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RenaissanceRe Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding312.9 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM

RenaissanceRe Holdings Technical Analysis

RenaissanceRe Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. RenaissanceRe Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of RenaissanceRe Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing RenaissanceRe Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

RenaissanceRe Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

RenaissanceRe Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many RenaissanceRe Holdings' preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary RenaissanceRe Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about RenaissanceRe Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about RenaissanceRe Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for RenaissanceRe Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 5.06 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.16 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (787.92 M).
Latest headline from zacks.com: Disposition of 8008 shares by Axel Andre of Reinsurance Group at 218.54 subject to Rule 16b-3

Other Information on Investing in RenaissanceRe Preferred Stock

RenaissanceRe Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether RenaissanceRe Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RenaissanceRe with respect to the benefits of owning RenaissanceRe Holdings security.