ROCKWOOL International (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2912.0

ROCK-B Stock  DKK 2,574  114.00  4.24%   
ROCKWOOL International's future price is the expected price of ROCKWOOL International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ROCKWOOL International AS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ROCKWOOL International Backtesting, ROCKWOOL International Valuation, ROCKWOOL International Correlation, ROCKWOOL International Hype Analysis, ROCKWOOL International Volatility, ROCKWOOL International History as well as ROCKWOOL International Performance.
  
Please specify ROCKWOOL International's target price for which you would like ROCKWOOL International odds to be computed.

ROCKWOOL International Target Price Odds to finish over 2912.0

The tendency of ROCKWOOL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over kr 2,912  or more in 90 days
 2,574 90 days 2,912 
about 73.52
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ROCKWOOL International to move over kr 2,912  or more in 90 days from now is about 73.52 (This ROCKWOOL International AS probability density function shows the probability of ROCKWOOL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ROCKWOOL International price to stay between its current price of kr 2,574  and kr 2,912  at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ROCKWOOL International has a beta of 0.1 indicating as returns on the market go up, ROCKWOOL International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ROCKWOOL International AS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ROCKWOOL International AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ROCKWOOL International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ROCKWOOL International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ROCKWOOL International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,5722,5742,576
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,2942,2962,831
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,3442,3462,349
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,5362,8793,221
Details

ROCKWOOL International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ROCKWOOL International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ROCKWOOL International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ROCKWOOL International AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ROCKWOOL International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.10
σ
Overall volatility
132.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

ROCKWOOL International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ROCKWOOL International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ROCKWOOL International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ROCKWOOL International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

ROCKWOOL International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ROCKWOOL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ROCKWOOL International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ROCKWOOL International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding21.6 M

ROCKWOOL International Technical Analysis

ROCKWOOL International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ROCKWOOL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ROCKWOOL International AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing ROCKWOOL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ROCKWOOL International Predictive Forecast Models

ROCKWOOL International's time-series forecasting models is one of many ROCKWOOL International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ROCKWOOL International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ROCKWOOL International

Checking the ongoing alerts about ROCKWOOL International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ROCKWOOL International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ROCKWOOL International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in ROCKWOOL Stock

ROCKWOOL International financial ratios help investors to determine whether ROCKWOOL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ROCKWOOL with respect to the benefits of owning ROCKWOOL International security.