ROCKWOOL International (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3,034
| ROCK-B Stock | DKK 2,982 6.00 0.20% |
ROCKWOOL |
ROCKWOOL International Target Price Odds to finish over 3,034
The tendency of ROCKWOOL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 2,982 | 90 days | 2,982 | about 57.66 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ROCKWOOL International to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 57.66 (This ROCKWOOL International AS probability density function shows the probability of ROCKWOOL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ROCKWOOL International has a beta of 0.88 indicating ROCKWOOL International AS market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, ROCKWOOL International is expected to follow. Additionally ROCKWOOL International AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ROCKWOOL International Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for ROCKWOOL International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ROCKWOOL International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ROCKWOOL International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ROCKWOOL International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ROCKWOOL International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ROCKWOOL International AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ROCKWOOL International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.88 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 111.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
ROCKWOOL International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ROCKWOOL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ROCKWOOL International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ROCKWOOL International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.6 M |
ROCKWOOL International Technical Analysis
ROCKWOOL International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ROCKWOOL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ROCKWOOL International AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing ROCKWOOL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ROCKWOOL International Predictive Forecast Models
ROCKWOOL International's time-series forecasting models is one of many ROCKWOOL International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ROCKWOOL International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards ROCKWOOL International in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, ROCKWOOL International's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from ROCKWOOL International options trading.
Other Information on Investing in ROCKWOOL Stock
ROCKWOOL International financial ratios help investors to determine whether ROCKWOOL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ROCKWOOL with respect to the benefits of owning ROCKWOOL International security.