Royal Orchid (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.41
| ROH Stock | THB 2.20 0.08 3.51% |
Royal |
Royal Orchid Target Price Odds to finish over 1.41
The tendency of Royal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 1.41 in 90 days |
| 2.20 | 90 days | 1.41 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Royal Orchid to stay above 1.41 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Royal Orchid Hotel probability density function shows the probability of Royal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Royal Orchid Hotel price to stay between 1.41 and its current price of 2.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.01 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Royal Orchid Hotel has a beta of -0.19 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Royal Orchid are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Royal Orchid Hotel is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Royal Orchid Hotel has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Royal Orchid Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Royal Orchid
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Royal Orchid Hotel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Royal Orchid Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Royal Orchid is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Royal Orchid's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Royal Orchid Hotel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Royal Orchid within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Royal Orchid Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Royal Orchid for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Royal Orchid Hotel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Royal Orchid Hotel is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Royal Orchid Hotel appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 62.26 M. Net Loss for the year was (213.44 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (16.22 M). | |
| Royal Orchid Hotel has accumulated about 586.39 M in cash with (189.98 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.26, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Royal Orchid Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Royal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Royal Orchid's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Royal Orchid's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 937.5 M |
Royal Orchid Technical Analysis
Royal Orchid's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Royal Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Royal Orchid Hotel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Royal Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Royal Orchid Predictive Forecast Models
Royal Orchid's time-series forecasting models is one of many Royal Orchid's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Royal Orchid's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Royal Orchid Hotel
Checking the ongoing alerts about Royal Orchid for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Royal Orchid Hotel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Royal Orchid Hotel is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Royal Orchid Hotel appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 62.26 M. Net Loss for the year was (213.44 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (16.22 M). | |
| Royal Orchid Hotel has accumulated about 586.39 M in cash with (189.98 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.26, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Royal Stock
Royal Orchid financial ratios help investors to determine whether Royal Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Royal with respect to the benefits of owning Royal Orchid security.