Rohm Co Ltd Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 17.04
| ROHCY Stock | USD 9.35 0.19 2.07% |
Rohm |
Rohm Co Target Price Odds to finish below 17.04
The tendency of Rohm Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 17.04 after 90 days |
| 9.35 | 90 days | 17.04 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rohm Co to stay under $ 17.04 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Rohm Co Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Rohm Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rohm Co price to stay between its current price of $ 9.35 and $ 17.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.49 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Rohm Co has a beta of 0.41 indicating as returns on the market go up, Rohm Co average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Rohm Co Ltd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Rohm Co Ltd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Rohm Co Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Rohm Co
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rohm Co. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rohm Co's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Rohm Co Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rohm Co is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rohm Co's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rohm Co Ltd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rohm Co within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Rohm Co Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rohm Co for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rohm Co can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Rohm Co generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Rohm Co Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rohm Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rohm Co's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rohm Co's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 203.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 342.4 B |
Rohm Co Technical Analysis
Rohm Co's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rohm Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rohm Co Ltd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rohm Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Rohm Co Predictive Forecast Models
Rohm Co's time-series forecasting models is one of many Rohm Co's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rohm Co's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Rohm Co
Checking the ongoing alerts about Rohm Co for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rohm Co help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Rohm Co generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Rohm Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Rohm Co's price analysis, check to measure Rohm Co's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rohm Co is operating at the current time. Most of Rohm Co's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rohm Co's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rohm Co's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rohm Co to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.