RomReal (Norway) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.03

ROM Stock  NOK 2.70  0.36  11.76%   
RomReal's future price is the expected price of RomReal instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of RomReal Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out RomReal Backtesting, RomReal Valuation, RomReal Correlation, RomReal Hype Analysis, RomReal Volatility, RomReal History as well as RomReal Performance.
  
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RomReal Target Price Odds to finish below 0.03

The tendency of RomReal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.03  or more in 90 days
 2.70 90 days 0.03 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of RomReal to drop to  0.03  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This RomReal Limited probability density function shows the probability of RomReal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of RomReal Limited price to stay between  0.03  and its current price of 2.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon RomReal Limited has a beta of -0.45 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding RomReal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, RomReal Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally RomReal Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   RomReal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for RomReal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RomReal Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.707.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.407.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.062.888.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.562.913.26
Details

RomReal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. RomReal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the RomReal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold RomReal Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of RomReal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.45
σ
Overall volatility
0.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

RomReal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of RomReal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for RomReal Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
RomReal Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
RomReal Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance
RomReal Limited has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company has 0.0 in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
RomReal Limited has accumulated about 4.29 M in cash with (489.4 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1.
Roughly 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

RomReal Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of RomReal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential RomReal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RomReal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding41.4 M

RomReal Technical Analysis

RomReal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. RomReal Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of RomReal Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing RomReal Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

RomReal Predictive Forecast Models

RomReal's time-series forecasting models is one of many RomReal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary RomReal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about RomReal Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about RomReal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for RomReal Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
RomReal Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
RomReal Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance
RomReal Limited has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company has 0.0 in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
RomReal Limited has accumulated about 4.29 M in cash with (489.4 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1.
Roughly 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in RomReal Stock

RomReal financial ratios help investors to determine whether RomReal Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RomReal with respect to the benefits of owning RomReal security.