Aesler Grup (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 580.0
| RONY Stock | IDR 1,005 170.00 20.36% |
Aesler |
Aesler Grup Target Price Odds to finish over 580.0
The tendency of Aesler Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 580.00 in 90 days |
| 1,005 | 90 days | 580.00 | about 12.98 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aesler Grup to stay above 580.00 in 90 days from now is about 12.98 (This Aesler Grup Internasional probability density function shows the probability of Aesler Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aesler Grup Internasional price to stay between 580.00 and its current price of 1005.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aesler Grup Internasional has a beta of -0.57 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Aesler Grup are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Aesler Grup Internasional is likely to outperform the market. In addition to that Aesler Grup Internasional has an alpha of 3.3524, implying that it can generate a 3.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aesler Grup Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aesler Grup
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aesler Grup Internasional. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aesler Grup Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aesler Grup is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aesler Grup's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aesler Grup Internasional, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aesler Grup within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 3.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 168.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.64 |
Aesler Grup Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aesler Grup for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aesler Grup Internasional can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aesler Grup is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Aesler Grup appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Aesler is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 8.62 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.06 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.53 B. | |
| Aesler Grup Internasional has accumulated about 3.45 M in cash with (377.66 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06. |
Aesler Grup Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aesler Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aesler Grup's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aesler Grup's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.4 M |
Aesler Grup Technical Analysis
Aesler Grup's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aesler Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aesler Grup Internasional. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aesler Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aesler Grup Predictive Forecast Models
Aesler Grup's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aesler Grup's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aesler Grup's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aesler Grup Internasional
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aesler Grup for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aesler Grup Internasional help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aesler Grup is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Aesler Grup appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Aesler is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 8.62 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.06 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.53 B. | |
| Aesler Grup Internasional has accumulated about 3.45 M in cash with (377.66 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06. |
Other Information on Investing in Aesler Stock
Aesler Grup financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aesler Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aesler with respect to the benefits of owning Aesler Grup security.