Raja Ferry (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.03
| RP Stock | THB 1.10 0.02 1.85% |
Raja |
Raja Ferry Target Price Odds to finish below 1.03
The tendency of Raja Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1.03 or more in 90 days |
| 1.10 | 90 days | 1.03 | about 19.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Raja Ferry to drop to 1.03 or more in 90 days from now is about 19.0 (This Raja Ferry Port probability density function shows the probability of Raja Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Raja Ferry Port price to stay between 1.03 and its current price of 1.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.01 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Raja Ferry Port has a beta of -0.83 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Raja Ferry are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Raja Ferry Port is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Raja Ferry Port has an alpha of 0.134, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Raja Ferry Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Raja Ferry
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Raja Ferry Port. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Raja Ferry Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Raja Ferry is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Raja Ferry's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Raja Ferry Port, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Raja Ferry within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Raja Ferry Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Raja Ferry for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Raja Ferry Port can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Raja Ferry Port is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Raja Ferry Port may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Raja Ferry Port appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 364.75 M. Net Loss for the year was (110.11 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (59.99 M). | |
| About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Raja Ferry Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Raja Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Raja Ferry's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Raja Ferry's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 220.8 M |
Raja Ferry Technical Analysis
Raja Ferry's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Raja Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Raja Ferry Port. In general, you should focus on analyzing Raja Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Raja Ferry Predictive Forecast Models
Raja Ferry's time-series forecasting models is one of many Raja Ferry's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Raja Ferry's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Raja Ferry Port
Checking the ongoing alerts about Raja Ferry for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Raja Ferry Port help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Raja Ferry Port is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Raja Ferry Port may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Raja Ferry Port appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 364.75 M. Net Loss for the year was (110.11 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (59.99 M). | |
| About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Raja Stock
Raja Ferry financial ratios help investors to determine whether Raja Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Raja with respect to the benefits of owning Raja Ferry security.