Rapac Communication (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2500.0

RPAC Stock  ILS 2,500  30.00  1.19%   
Rapac Communication's future price is the expected price of Rapac Communication instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Rapac Communication Infrastructure performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Rapac Communication Backtesting, Rapac Communication Valuation, Rapac Communication Correlation, Rapac Communication Hype Analysis, Rapac Communication Volatility, Rapac Communication History as well as Rapac Communication Performance.
  
Please specify Rapac Communication's target price for which you would like Rapac Communication odds to be computed.

Rapac Communication Target Price Odds to finish below 2500.0

The tendency of Rapac Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 2,500 90 days 2,500 
about 49.19
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rapac Communication to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 49.19 (This Rapac Communication Infrastructure probability density function shows the probability of Rapac Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Rapac Communication Infrastructure has a beta of -0.29 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Rapac Communication are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Rapac Communication Infrastructure is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Rapac Communication Infrastructure has an alpha of 0.0385, implying that it can generate a 0.0385 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Rapac Communication Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Rapac Communication

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rapac Communication. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,4992,5002,501
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,0932,0942,750
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,4042,4052,407
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,4632,5402,617
Details

Rapac Communication Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rapac Communication is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rapac Communication's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rapac Communication Infrastructure, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rapac Communication within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.29
σ
Overall volatility
90.95
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Rapac Communication Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rapac Communication for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rapac Communication can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rapac Communication generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Rapac Communication has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Rapac Communication Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rapac Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rapac Communication's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rapac Communication's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.3 M

Rapac Communication Technical Analysis

Rapac Communication's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rapac Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rapac Communication Infrastructure. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rapac Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Rapac Communication Predictive Forecast Models

Rapac Communication's time-series forecasting models is one of many Rapac Communication's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rapac Communication's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Rapac Communication

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rapac Communication for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rapac Communication help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rapac Communication generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Rapac Communication has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Rapac Stock

Rapac Communication financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rapac Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rapac with respect to the benefits of owning Rapac Communication security.