Rapid7 Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 30.68

RPD Stock  USD 42.53  0.77  1.78%   
Rapid7's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Rapid7 Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Rapid7 based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Rapid7 Inc over a specific time period. For example, RPD Option Call 20-12-2024 43 is a CALL option contract on Rapid7's common stock with a strick price of 43.0 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-11-26 at 13:26:15 for $2.29 and, as of today, has 21 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $0.0. The implied volatility as of the 29th of November is 21.0. View All Rapid7 options

Closest to current price Rapid7 long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Rapid7's future price is the expected price of Rapid7 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Rapid7 Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Rapid7 Backtesting, Rapid7 Valuation, Rapid7 Correlation, Rapid7 Hype Analysis, Rapid7 Volatility, Rapid7 History as well as Rapid7 Performance.
  
At present, Rapid7's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 43.35, whereas Price Book Value Ratio is projected to grow to (27.89). Please specify Rapid7's target price for which you would like Rapid7 odds to be computed.

Rapid7 Target Price Odds to finish below 30.68

The tendency of Rapid7 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 30.68  or more in 90 days
 42.53 90 days 30.68 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rapid7 to drop to $ 30.68  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Rapid7 Inc probability density function shows the probability of Rapid7 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rapid7 Inc price to stay between $ 30.68  and its current price of $42.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.55 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.59 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Rapid7 will likely underperform. Additionally Rapid7 Inc has an alpha of 0.0038, implying that it can generate a 0.003817 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Rapid7 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Rapid7

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rapid7 Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.4142.6244.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.2846.1248.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
40.3842.5944.80
Details
25 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
48.3353.1158.95
Details

Rapid7 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rapid7 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rapid7's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rapid7 Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rapid7 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.59
σ
Overall volatility
2.65
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Rapid7 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rapid7 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rapid7 Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rapid7 Inc has 1.02 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 6.49, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Rapid7 Inc has a current ratio of 0.87, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Rapid7 to invest in growth at high rates of return.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 777.71 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (149.26 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 470.73 M.
Over 99.0% of Rapid7 shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from accesswire.com: Investors Are Invited To Join The Schall Law Firms Inquiry Into Rapid7, Inc. For Securities Fraud

Rapid7 Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rapid7 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rapid7's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rapid7's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding60.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments383.2 M

Rapid7 Technical Analysis

Rapid7's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rapid7 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rapid7 Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rapid7 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Rapid7 Predictive Forecast Models

Rapid7's time-series forecasting models is one of many Rapid7's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rapid7's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Rapid7 Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rapid7 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rapid7 Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rapid7 Inc has 1.02 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 6.49, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Rapid7 Inc has a current ratio of 0.87, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Rapid7 to invest in growth at high rates of return.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 777.71 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (149.26 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 470.73 M.
Over 99.0% of Rapid7 shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from accesswire.com: Investors Are Invited To Join The Schall Law Firms Inquiry Into Rapid7, Inc. For Securities Fraud
When determining whether Rapid7 Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Rapid7's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Rapid7's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Rapid7 Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Rapid7 Backtesting, Rapid7 Valuation, Rapid7 Correlation, Rapid7 Hype Analysis, Rapid7 Volatility, Rapid7 History as well as Rapid7 Performance.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rapid7. If investors know Rapid7 will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Rapid7 listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
0.7
Revenue Per Share
13.399
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.08
Return On Assets
0.0189
Return On Equity
(1.28)
The market value of Rapid7 Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rapid7 that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rapid7's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rapid7's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Rapid7's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rapid7's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Rapid7's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Rapid7 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rapid7's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.