Regal Funds (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.04
| RPL Stock | 4.02 0.06 1.47% |
Regal |
Regal Funds Target Price Odds to finish over 10.04
The tendency of Regal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 10.04 or more in 90 days |
| 4.02 | 90 days | 10.04 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Regal Funds to move over 10.04 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Regal Funds Management probability density function shows the probability of Regal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Regal Funds Management price to stay between its current price of 4.02 and 10.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Regal Funds has a beta of 0.42 indicating as returns on the market go up, Regal Funds average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Regal Funds Management will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Regal Funds Management has an alpha of 0.2701, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Regal Funds Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Regal Funds
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Regal Funds Management. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Regal Funds Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Regal Funds is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Regal Funds' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Regal Funds Management, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Regal Funds within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Regal Funds Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Regal Funds for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Regal Funds Management can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Regal Funds is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Regal Funds Management Boosts Stake in Pantoro Limited - MSN |
Regal Funds Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Regal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Regal Funds' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Regal Funds' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 283.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 211.7 M |
Regal Funds Technical Analysis
Regal Funds' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Regal Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Regal Funds Management. In general, you should focus on analyzing Regal Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Regal Funds Predictive Forecast Models
Regal Funds' time-series forecasting models is one of many Regal Funds' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Regal Funds' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Regal Funds Management
Checking the ongoing alerts about Regal Funds for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Regal Funds Management help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Regal Funds is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Regal Funds Management Boosts Stake in Pantoro Limited - MSN |
Additional Tools for Regal Stock Analysis
When running Regal Funds' price analysis, check to measure Regal Funds' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Regal Funds is operating at the current time. Most of Regal Funds' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Regal Funds' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Regal Funds' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Regal Funds to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.