Republic Services (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 121.35
| RPU Stock | EUR 202.50 1.80 0.90% |
Republic |
Republic Services Target Price Odds to finish below 121.35
The tendency of Republic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 121.35 or more in 90 days |
| 202.50 | 90 days | 121.35 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Republic Services to drop to € 121.35 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Republic Services probability density function shows the probability of Republic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Republic Services price to stay between € 121.35 and its current price of €202.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.74 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Republic Services has a beta of 0.39 indicating as returns on the market go up, Republic Services average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Republic Services will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Republic Services has an alpha of 0.0791, implying that it can generate a 0.0791 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Republic Services Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Republic Services
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Republic Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Republic Services Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Republic Services is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Republic Services' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Republic Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Republic Services within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Republic Services Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Republic Services for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Republic Services can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Republic Services has accumulated 11.33 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.06, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Republic Services has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Republic Services until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Republic Services' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Republic Services sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Republic to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Republic Services' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 95.0% of Republic Services shares are owned by institutional investors |
Republic Services Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Republic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Republic Services' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Republic Services' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 316 M |
Republic Services Technical Analysis
Republic Services' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Republic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Republic Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing Republic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Republic Services Predictive Forecast Models
Republic Services' time-series forecasting models is one of many Republic Services' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Republic Services' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Republic Services
Checking the ongoing alerts about Republic Services for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Republic Services help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Republic Services has accumulated 11.33 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.06, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Republic Services has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Republic Services until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Republic Services' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Republic Services sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Republic to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Republic Services' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 95.0% of Republic Services shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Republic Stock
When determining whether Republic Services is a strong investment it is important to analyze Republic Services' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Republic Services' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Republic Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Republic Services Backtesting, Republic Services Valuation, Republic Services Correlation, Republic Services Hype Analysis, Republic Services Volatility, Republic Services History as well as Republic Services Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Republic Stock please use our How to Invest in Republic Services guide.You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.