Reaves Select Research Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 8.18

RSRFX Fund  USD 10.47  0.04  0.38%   
Reaves Select's future price is the expected price of Reaves Select instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Reaves Select Research performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Reaves Select Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Reaves Select Correlation, Reaves Select Hype Analysis, Reaves Select Volatility, Reaves Select History as well as Reaves Select Performance.
  
Please specify Reaves Select's target price for which you would like Reaves Select odds to be computed.

Reaves Select Target Price Odds to finish below 8.18

The tendency of Reaves Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 8.18  or more in 90 days
 10.47 90 days 8.18 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Reaves Select to drop to $ 8.18  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Reaves Select Research probability density function shows the probability of Reaves Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Reaves Select Research price to stay between $ 8.18  and its current price of $10.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 58.37 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Reaves Select has a beta of 0.27 indicating as returns on the market go up, Reaves Select average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Reaves Select Research will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Reaves Select Research has an alpha of 0.0961, implying that it can generate a 0.0961 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Reaves Select Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Reaves Select

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Reaves Select Research. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.5610.4311.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.5610.4311.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.2710.1411.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.4610.8111.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Reaves Select. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Reaves Select's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Reaves Select's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Reaves Select Research.

Reaves Select Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Reaves Select is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Reaves Select's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Reaves Select Research, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Reaves Select within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.33
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Reaves Select Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Reaves Select for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Reaves Select Research can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 97.81% of its assets in stocks

Reaves Select Technical Analysis

Reaves Select's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Reaves Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Reaves Select Research. In general, you should focus on analyzing Reaves Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Reaves Select Predictive Forecast Models

Reaves Select's time-series forecasting models is one of many Reaves Select's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Reaves Select's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Reaves Select Research

Checking the ongoing alerts about Reaves Select for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Reaves Select Research help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 97.81% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Reaves Mutual Fund

Reaves Select financial ratios help investors to determine whether Reaves Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Reaves with respect to the benefits of owning Reaves Select security.
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