Multifactor Equity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 20.32

RTDCX Fund  USD 20.59  0.10  0.49%   
Multifactor's future price is the expected price of Multifactor instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Multifactor Equity Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Multifactor Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Multifactor Correlation, Multifactor Hype Analysis, Multifactor Volatility, Multifactor History as well as Multifactor Performance.
  
Please specify Multifactor's target price for which you would like Multifactor odds to be computed.

Multifactor Target Price Odds to finish below 20.32

The tendency of Multifactor Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 20.32  or more in 90 days
 20.59 90 days 20.32 
about 89.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Multifactor to drop to $ 20.32  or more in 90 days from now is about 89.42 (This Multifactor Equity Fund probability density function shows the probability of Multifactor Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Multifactor Equity price to stay between $ 20.32  and its current price of $20.59 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.47 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Multifactor has a beta of 0.91 indicating Multifactor Equity Fund market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Multifactor is expected to follow. Additionally Multifactor Equity Fund has an alpha of 0.0046, implying that it can generate a 0.004623 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Multifactor Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Multifactor

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Multifactor Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Multifactor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.8020.5921.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.5320.3221.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.5620.3621.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.4620.5620.65
Details

Multifactor Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Multifactor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Multifactor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Multifactor Equity Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Multifactor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.91
σ
Overall volatility
0.54
Ir
Information ratio -0.0083

Multifactor Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Multifactor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Multifactor Equity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 97.08% of its assets in stocks

Multifactor Technical Analysis

Multifactor's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Multifactor Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Multifactor Equity Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Multifactor Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Multifactor Predictive Forecast Models

Multifactor's time-series forecasting models is one of many Multifactor's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Multifactor's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Multifactor Equity

Checking the ongoing alerts about Multifactor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Multifactor Equity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 97.08% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Multifactor Mutual Fund

Multifactor financial ratios help investors to determine whether Multifactor Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Multifactor with respect to the benefits of owning Multifactor security.
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