Wilmar International (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.1
| RTHA Stock | EUR 2.10 0.04 1.87% |
Wilmar |
Wilmar International Target Price Odds to finish over 2.1
The tendency of Wilmar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 2.10 | 90 days | 2.10 | about 88.65 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wilmar International to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.65 (This Wilmar International Limited probability density function shows the probability of Wilmar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wilmar International Limited has a beta of -0.37 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Wilmar International are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Wilmar International Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Wilmar International Limited has an alpha of 0.0316, implying that it can generate a 0.0316 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Wilmar International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Wilmar International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wilmar International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Wilmar International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wilmar International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wilmar International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wilmar International Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wilmar International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Wilmar International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wilmar International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wilmar International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Wilmar International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Wilmar International has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Wilmar International Limited has accumulated about 4.49 B in cash with (45.04 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.71. | |
| Roughly 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Wilmar International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wilmar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wilmar International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wilmar International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.3 B |
Wilmar International Technical Analysis
Wilmar International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wilmar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wilmar International Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wilmar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Wilmar International Predictive Forecast Models
Wilmar International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wilmar International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wilmar International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Wilmar International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Wilmar International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wilmar International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Wilmar International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Wilmar International has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Wilmar International Limited has accumulated about 4.49 B in cash with (45.04 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.71. | |
| Roughly 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Wilmar Stock
Wilmar International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wilmar Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wilmar with respect to the benefits of owning Wilmar International security.