Rush Factory (Finland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 34.96

RUSH Stock  EUR 0.66  0.00  0.00%   
Rush Factory's future price is the expected price of Rush Factory instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Rush Factory Oyj performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Rush Factory Backtesting, Rush Factory Valuation, Rush Factory Correlation, Rush Factory Hype Analysis, Rush Factory Volatility, Rush Factory History as well as Rush Factory Performance.
  
Please specify Rush Factory's target price for which you would like Rush Factory odds to be computed.

Rush Factory Target Price Odds to finish over 34.96

The tendency of Rush Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 34.96  or more in 90 days
 0.66 90 days 34.96 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rush Factory to move over € 34.96  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Rush Factory Oyj probability density function shows the probability of Rush Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rush Factory Oyj price to stay between its current price of € 0.66  and € 34.96  at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.12 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Rush Factory has a beta of 0.43 indicating as returns on the market go up, Rush Factory average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Rush Factory Oyj will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Rush Factory Oyj has an alpha of 1.568, implying that it can generate a 1.57 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Rush Factory Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Rush Factory

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rush Factory Oyj. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.6612.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.4911.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.5912.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.660.660.66
Details

Rush Factory Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rush Factory is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rush Factory's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rush Factory Oyj, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rush Factory within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.57
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.43
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Rush Factory Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rush Factory for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rush Factory Oyj can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rush Factory Oyj is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Rush Factory Oyj has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Rush Factory Oyj appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Rush Factory Oyj has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has a current ratio of 0.54, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Rush Factory until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Rush Factory's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Rush Factory Oyj sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Rush to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Rush Factory's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Rush Factory Oyj reported the revenue of 888.61 K. Net Loss for the year was (845.91 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (243.51 K).
Rush Factory Oyj has accumulated about 612.64 K in cash with (46.72 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.26.
Roughly 91.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Rush Factory Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rush Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rush Factory's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rush Factory's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day5.81k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month7.31k

Rush Factory Technical Analysis

Rush Factory's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rush Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rush Factory Oyj. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rush Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Rush Factory Predictive Forecast Models

Rush Factory's time-series forecasting models is one of many Rush Factory's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rush Factory's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Rush Factory Oyj

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rush Factory for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rush Factory Oyj help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rush Factory Oyj is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Rush Factory Oyj has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Rush Factory Oyj appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Rush Factory Oyj has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has a current ratio of 0.54, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Rush Factory until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Rush Factory's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Rush Factory Oyj sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Rush to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Rush Factory's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Rush Factory Oyj reported the revenue of 888.61 K. Net Loss for the year was (845.91 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (243.51 K).
Rush Factory Oyj has accumulated about 612.64 K in cash with (46.72 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.26.
Roughly 91.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Rush Stock

Rush Factory financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rush Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rush with respect to the benefits of owning Rush Factory security.