Retractable Technologies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.63
| RVP Stock | USD 0.61 0.02 3.17% |
Retractable |
Retractable Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 0.63
The tendency of Retractable Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 0.63 or more in 90 days |
| 0.61 | 90 days | 0.63 | more than 93.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Retractable Technologies to move over $ 0.63 or more in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Retractable Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Retractable Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Retractable Technologies price to stay between its current price of $ 0.61 and $ 0.63 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.22 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Retractable Technologies has a beta of 0.85 indicating Retractable Technologies market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Retractable Technologies is expected to follow. Additionally Retractable Technologies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Retractable Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Retractable Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Retractable Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Retractable Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Retractable Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Retractable Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Retractable Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Retractable Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Retractable Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.68 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.85 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Retractable Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Retractable Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Retractable Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Retractable Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Retractable Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Retractable Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 43.6 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (7.01 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 28.25 M. | |
| Retractable Technologies has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Retractable Technologies reports Q3 results |
Retractable Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Retractable Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Retractable Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Retractable Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 47.3 M |
Retractable Technologies Technical Analysis
Retractable Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Retractable Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Retractable Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Retractable Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Retractable Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Retractable Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Retractable Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Retractable Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Retractable Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Retractable Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Retractable Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Retractable Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Retractable Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Retractable Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 43.6 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (7.01 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 28.25 M. | |
| Retractable Technologies has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Retractable Technologies reports Q3 results |
Additional Tools for Retractable Stock Analysis
When running Retractable Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Retractable Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Retractable Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Retractable Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Retractable Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Retractable Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Retractable Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.