Redwood Managed Municipal Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 14.56
| RWMNX Fund | USD 14.94 0.00 0.00% |
Redwood |
Redwood Managed Target Price Odds to finish below 14.56
The tendency of Redwood Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 14.56 or more in 90 days |
| 14.94 | 90 days | 14.56 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Redwood Managed to drop to $ 14.56 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Redwood Managed Municipal probability density function shows the probability of Redwood Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Redwood Managed Municipal price to stay between $ 14.56 and its current price of $14.94 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.82 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Redwood Managed Municipal has a beta of -0.0114 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Redwood Managed are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Redwood Managed Municipal is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Redwood Managed Municipal has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Redwood Managed Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Redwood Managed
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Redwood Managed Municipal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Redwood Managed Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Redwood Managed is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Redwood Managed's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Redwood Managed Municipal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Redwood Managed within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0076 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -1.21 |
Redwood Managed Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Redwood Managed for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Redwood Managed Municipal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Redwood Managed generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Redwood Managed Municipal maintains about 8.73% of its assets in bonds |
Redwood Managed Technical Analysis
Redwood Managed's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Redwood Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Redwood Managed Municipal. In general, you should focus on analyzing Redwood Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Redwood Managed Predictive Forecast Models
Redwood Managed's time-series forecasting models is one of many Redwood Managed's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Redwood Managed's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Redwood Managed Municipal
Checking the ongoing alerts about Redwood Managed for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Redwood Managed Municipal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Redwood Managed generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Redwood Managed Municipal maintains about 8.73% of its assets in bonds |
Other Information on Investing in Redwood Mutual Fund
Redwood Managed financial ratios help investors to determine whether Redwood Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Redwood with respect to the benefits of owning Redwood Managed security.
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