Redwood Systematic Macro Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 19.55

RWSIX Fund  USD 19.44  0.23  1.17%   
Redwood Systematic's future price is the expected price of Redwood Systematic instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Redwood Systematic Macro performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Redwood Systematic Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Redwood Systematic Correlation, Redwood Systematic Hype Analysis, Redwood Systematic Volatility, Redwood Systematic History as well as Redwood Systematic Performance.
  
Please specify Redwood Systematic's target price for which you would like Redwood Systematic odds to be computed.

Redwood Systematic Target Price Odds to finish below 19.55

The tendency of Redwood Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 19.55  after 90 days
 19.44 90 days 19.55 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Redwood Systematic to stay under $ 19.55  after 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Redwood Systematic Macro probability density function shows the probability of Redwood Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Redwood Systematic Macro price to stay between its current price of $ 19.44  and $ 19.55  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.26 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Redwood Systematic has a beta of 0.054 indicating as returns on the market go up, Redwood Systematic average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Redwood Systematic Macro will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Redwood Systematic Macro has an alpha of 0.0746, implying that it can generate a 0.0746 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Redwood Systematic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Redwood Systematic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Redwood Systematic Macro. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.7019.4420.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.5619.3020.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.3819.1119.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.1619.3719.57
Details

Redwood Systematic Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Redwood Systematic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Redwood Systematic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Redwood Systematic Macro, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Redwood Systematic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Redwood Systematic Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Redwood Systematic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Redwood Systematic Macro can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 21.16% of its assets in cash

Redwood Systematic Technical Analysis

Redwood Systematic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Redwood Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Redwood Systematic Macro. In general, you should focus on analyzing Redwood Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Redwood Systematic Predictive Forecast Models

Redwood Systematic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Redwood Systematic's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Redwood Systematic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Redwood Systematic Macro

Checking the ongoing alerts about Redwood Systematic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Redwood Systematic Macro help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 21.16% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Redwood Mutual Fund

Redwood Systematic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Redwood Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Redwood with respect to the benefits of owning Redwood Systematic security.
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