Ryanair Holdings (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19.22
| RY4C Stock | EUR 17.85 0.50 2.72% |
Ryanair |
Ryanair Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 19.22
The tendency of Ryanair Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 19.22 or more in 90 days |
| 17.85 | 90 days | 19.22 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ryanair Holdings to move over € 19.22 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Ryanair Holdings plc probability density function shows the probability of Ryanair Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ryanair Holdings plc price to stay between its current price of € 17.85 and € 19.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.94 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ryanair Holdings has a beta of 0.28 indicating as returns on the market go up, Ryanair Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ryanair Holdings plc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ryanair Holdings plc has an alpha of 0.1447, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ryanair Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ryanair Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ryanair Holdings plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ryanair Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ryanair Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ryanair Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ryanair Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ryanair Holdings plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ryanair Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Ryanair Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ryanair Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ryanair Holdings plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ryanair Holdings plc has accumulated 3.71 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.17, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Ryanair Holdings plc has a current ratio of 0.96, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ryanair Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ryanair Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ryanair Holdings plc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ryanair to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ryanair Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 4.8 B. Net Loss for the year was (240.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 791.1 M. |
Ryanair Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ryanair Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ryanair Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ryanair Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B |
Ryanair Holdings Technical Analysis
Ryanair Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ryanair Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ryanair Holdings plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ryanair Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ryanair Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Ryanair Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Ryanair Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ryanair Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ryanair Holdings plc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ryanair Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ryanair Holdings plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ryanair Holdings plc has accumulated 3.71 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.17, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Ryanair Holdings plc has a current ratio of 0.96, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ryanair Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ryanair Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ryanair Holdings plc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ryanair to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ryanair Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 4.8 B. Net Loss for the year was (240.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 791.1 M. |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Ryanair Stock
When determining whether Ryanair Holdings plc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Ryanair Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ryanair Holdings Plc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ryanair Holdings Plc Stock:Check out Ryanair Holdings Backtesting, Ryanair Holdings Valuation, Ryanair Holdings Correlation, Ryanair Holdings Hype Analysis, Ryanair Holdings Volatility, Ryanair Holdings History as well as Ryanair Holdings Performance. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..