Inverse Nasdaq 100 Strategy Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 14.69

RYAPX Fund  USD 14.60  0.02  0.14%   
Inverse Nasdaq-100's future price is the expected price of Inverse Nasdaq-100 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Inverse Nasdaq 100 Strategy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Inverse Nasdaq-100 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Inverse Nasdaq-100 Correlation, Inverse Nasdaq-100 Hype Analysis, Inverse Nasdaq-100 Volatility, Inverse Nasdaq-100 History as well as Inverse Nasdaq-100 Performance.
  
Please specify Inverse Nasdaq-100's target price for which you would like Inverse Nasdaq-100 odds to be computed.

Inverse Nasdaq-100 Target Price Odds to finish over 14.69

The tendency of Inverse Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 14.69  or more in 90 days
 14.60 90 days 14.69 
about 82.95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Inverse Nasdaq-100 to move over $ 14.69  or more in 90 days from now is about 82.95 (This Inverse Nasdaq 100 Strategy probability density function shows the probability of Inverse Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Inverse Nasdaq 100 price to stay between its current price of $ 14.60  and $ 14.69  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.88 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Inverse Nasdaq 100 Strategy has a beta of -0.98 indicating Additionally Inverse Nasdaq 100 Strategy has an alpha of 0.0364, implying that it can generate a 0.0364 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Inverse Nasdaq-100 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Inverse Nasdaq-100

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inverse Nasdaq 100. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.4914.6015.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.4713.5814.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.8014.9216.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.5914.6114.63
Details

Inverse Nasdaq-100 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Inverse Nasdaq-100 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Inverse Nasdaq-100's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Inverse Nasdaq 100 Strategy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Inverse Nasdaq-100 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.98
σ
Overall volatility
0.42
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Inverse Nasdaq-100 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Inverse Nasdaq-100 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Inverse Nasdaq 100 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Inverse Nasdaq 100 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
This fund generated-19.0 ten year return of -19.0%
Inverse Nasdaq-100 maintains about 31.04% of its assets in cash

Inverse Nasdaq-100 Technical Analysis

Inverse Nasdaq-100's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Inverse Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Inverse Nasdaq 100 Strategy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Inverse Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Inverse Nasdaq-100 Predictive Forecast Models

Inverse Nasdaq-100's time-series forecasting models is one of many Inverse Nasdaq-100's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Inverse Nasdaq-100's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Inverse Nasdaq 100

Checking the ongoing alerts about Inverse Nasdaq-100 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Inverse Nasdaq 100 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Inverse Nasdaq 100 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
This fund generated-19.0 ten year return of -19.0%
Inverse Nasdaq-100 maintains about 31.04% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Inverse Mutual Fund

Inverse Nasdaq-100 financial ratios help investors to determine whether Inverse Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Inverse with respect to the benefits of owning Inverse Nasdaq-100 security.
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