Nasdaq 100 Fund Class Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 74.70

RYATX Fund  USD 77.23  0.66  0.85%   
Nasdaq-100 Fund's future price is the expected price of Nasdaq-100 Fund instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nasdaq 100 Fund Class performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nasdaq-100 Fund Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Nasdaq-100 Fund Correlation, Nasdaq-100 Fund Hype Analysis, Nasdaq-100 Fund Volatility, Nasdaq-100 Fund History as well as Nasdaq-100 Fund Performance.
  
Please specify Nasdaq-100 Fund's target price for which you would like Nasdaq-100 Fund odds to be computed.

Nasdaq-100 Fund Target Price Odds to finish below 74.70

The tendency of Nasdaq-100 Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 74.70  or more in 90 days
 77.23 90 days 74.70 
about 48.95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nasdaq-100 Fund to drop to $ 74.70  or more in 90 days from now is about 48.95 (This Nasdaq 100 Fund Class probability density function shows the probability of Nasdaq-100 Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nasdaq 100 Fund price to stay between $ 74.70  and its current price of $77.23 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.53 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nasdaq-100 Fund has a beta of 0.95 indicating Nasdaq 100 Fund Class market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Nasdaq-100 Fund is expected to follow. Additionally Nasdaq 100 Fund Class has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Nasdaq-100 Fund Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nasdaq-100 Fund

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nasdaq 100 Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nasdaq-100 Fund's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
76.2177.2378.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.3276.3477.36
Details

Nasdaq-100 Fund Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nasdaq-100 Fund is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nasdaq-100 Fund's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nasdaq 100 Fund Class, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nasdaq-100 Fund within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.95
σ
Overall volatility
2.32
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Nasdaq-100 Fund Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nasdaq-100 Fund for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nasdaq 100 Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 94.47% of its assets in stocks

Nasdaq-100 Fund Technical Analysis

Nasdaq-100 Fund's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nasdaq-100 Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nasdaq 100 Fund Class. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nasdaq-100 Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nasdaq-100 Fund Predictive Forecast Models

Nasdaq-100 Fund's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nasdaq-100 Fund's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nasdaq-100 Fund's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nasdaq 100 Fund

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nasdaq-100 Fund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nasdaq 100 Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 94.47% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Nasdaq-100 Mutual Fund

Nasdaq-100 Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nasdaq-100 Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nasdaq-100 with respect to the benefits of owning Nasdaq-100 Fund security.
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing
Sync Your Broker
Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors.