Reysas Gayrimenkul (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.05

RYGYO Stock  TRY 13.54  0.24  1.74%   
Reysas Gayrimenkul's future price is the expected price of Reysas Gayrimenkul instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Reysas Gayrimenkul Yatirim performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Reysas Gayrimenkul Backtesting, Reysas Gayrimenkul Valuation, Reysas Gayrimenkul Correlation, Reysas Gayrimenkul Hype Analysis, Reysas Gayrimenkul Volatility, Reysas Gayrimenkul History as well as Reysas Gayrimenkul Performance.
  
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Reysas Gayrimenkul Target Price Odds to finish below 13.05

The tendency of Reysas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  13.05  or more in 90 days
 13.54 90 days 13.05 
about 90.2
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Reysas Gayrimenkul to drop to  13.05  or more in 90 days from now is about 90.2 (This Reysas Gayrimenkul Yatirim probability density function shows the probability of Reysas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Reysas Gayrimenkul price to stay between  13.05  and its current price of 13.54 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.72 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Reysas Gayrimenkul Yatirim has a beta of -0.0776 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Reysas Gayrimenkul are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Reysas Gayrimenkul Yatirim is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Reysas Gayrimenkul Yatirim has an alpha of 0.2528, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Reysas Gayrimenkul Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Reysas Gayrimenkul

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Reysas Gayrimenkul. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.8013.7816.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.9910.9713.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.1813.1616.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.2413.1714.10
Details

Reysas Gayrimenkul Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Reysas Gayrimenkul is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Reysas Gayrimenkul's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Reysas Gayrimenkul Yatirim, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Reysas Gayrimenkul within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.84
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Reysas Gayrimenkul Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Reysas Gayrimenkul for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Reysas Gayrimenkul can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Reysas Gayrimenkul Yatirim has accumulated 843.47 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.69, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Reysas Gayrimenkul has a current ratio of 0.45, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Reysas Gayrimenkul until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Reysas Gayrimenkul's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Reysas Gayrimenkul sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Reysas to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Reysas Gayrimenkul's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Reysas Gayrimenkul Yatirim has accumulated about 281.01 M in cash with (2.81 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.15.
Roughly 78.0% of Reysas Gayrimenkul outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Reysas Gayrimenkul Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Reysas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Reysas Gayrimenkul's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Reysas Gayrimenkul's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding496.9 M

Reysas Gayrimenkul Technical Analysis

Reysas Gayrimenkul's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Reysas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Reysas Gayrimenkul Yatirim. In general, you should focus on analyzing Reysas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Reysas Gayrimenkul Predictive Forecast Models

Reysas Gayrimenkul's time-series forecasting models is one of many Reysas Gayrimenkul's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Reysas Gayrimenkul's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Reysas Gayrimenkul

Checking the ongoing alerts about Reysas Gayrimenkul for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Reysas Gayrimenkul help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Reysas Gayrimenkul Yatirim has accumulated 843.47 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.69, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Reysas Gayrimenkul has a current ratio of 0.45, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Reysas Gayrimenkul until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Reysas Gayrimenkul's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Reysas Gayrimenkul sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Reysas to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Reysas Gayrimenkul's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Reysas Gayrimenkul Yatirim has accumulated about 281.01 M in cash with (2.81 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.15.
Roughly 78.0% of Reysas Gayrimenkul outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Reysas Stock

Reysas Gayrimenkul financial ratios help investors to determine whether Reysas Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Reysas with respect to the benefits of owning Reysas Gayrimenkul security.