Koninklijke Philips Nv Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 26.82

RYLPF Stock  USD 25.88  0.12  0.46%   
Koninklijke Philips' future price is the expected price of Koninklijke Philips instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Koninklijke Philips NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Koninklijke Philips Backtesting, Koninklijke Philips Valuation, Koninklijke Philips Correlation, Koninklijke Philips Hype Analysis, Koninklijke Philips Volatility, Koninklijke Philips History as well as Koninklijke Philips Performance.
  
Please specify Koninklijke Philips' target price for which you would like Koninklijke Philips odds to be computed.

Koninklijke Philips Target Price Odds to finish below 26.82

The tendency of Koninklijke Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 26.82  after 90 days
 25.88 90 days 26.82 
about 17.22
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Koninklijke Philips to stay under $ 26.82  after 90 days from now is about 17.22 (This Koninklijke Philips NV probability density function shows the probability of Koninklijke Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Koninklijke Philips price to stay between its current price of $ 25.88  and $ 26.82  at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.22 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Koninklijke Philips has a beta of 0.45 indicating as returns on the market go up, Koninklijke Philips average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Koninklijke Philips NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Koninklijke Philips NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Koninklijke Philips Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Koninklijke Philips

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Koninklijke Philips. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.9725.8828.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.4327.3430.25
Details

Koninklijke Philips Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Koninklijke Philips is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Koninklijke Philips' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Koninklijke Philips NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Koninklijke Philips within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.45
σ
Overall volatility
2.39
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Koninklijke Philips Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Koninklijke Philips for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Koninklijke Philips can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Koninklijke Philips generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 17.83 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.61 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.19 B.
Koninklijke Philips NV has accumulated about 1.27 B in cash with (173 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.43.

Koninklijke Philips Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Koninklijke Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Koninklijke Philips' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Koninklijke Philips' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding881.5 M

Koninklijke Philips Technical Analysis

Koninklijke Philips' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Koninklijke Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Koninklijke Philips NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Koninklijke Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Koninklijke Philips Predictive Forecast Models

Koninklijke Philips' time-series forecasting models is one of many Koninklijke Philips' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Koninklijke Philips' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Koninklijke Philips

Checking the ongoing alerts about Koninklijke Philips for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Koninklijke Philips help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Koninklijke Philips generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 17.83 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.61 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.19 B.
Koninklijke Philips NV has accumulated about 1.27 B in cash with (173 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.43.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Koninklijke Pink Sheet

When determining whether Koninklijke Philips is a strong investment it is important to analyze Koninklijke Philips' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Koninklijke Philips' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Koninklijke Pink Sheet, refer to the following important reports:
Please note, there is a significant difference between Koninklijke Philips' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Koninklijke Philips is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Koninklijke Philips' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.