SUNCOKE ENERGY (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.28
| S01 Stock | EUR 12.00 0.20 1.69% |
SUNCOKE |
SUNCOKE ENERGY Target Price Odds to finish below 9.28
The tendency of SUNCOKE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 9.28 or more in 90 days |
| 12.00 | 90 days | 9.28 | about 58.68 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SUNCOKE ENERGY to drop to € 9.28 or more in 90 days from now is about 58.68 (This SUNCOKE ENERGY probability density function shows the probability of SUNCOKE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SUNCOKE ENERGY price to stay between € 9.28 and its current price of €12.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.01 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.04 . This usually implies SUNCOKE ENERGY market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, SUNCOKE ENERGY is expected to follow. Additionally SUNCOKE ENERGY has an alpha of 0.5601, implying that it can generate a 0.56 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). SUNCOKE ENERGY Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SUNCOKE ENERGY
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SUNCOKE ENERGY. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SUNCOKE ENERGY Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SUNCOKE ENERGY is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SUNCOKE ENERGY's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SUNCOKE ENERGY, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SUNCOKE ENERGY within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.56 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
SUNCOKE ENERGY Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SUNCOKE ENERGY for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SUNCOKE ENERGY can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SUNCOKE ENERGY appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
SUNCOKE ENERGY Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SUNCOKE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SUNCOKE ENERGY's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SUNCOKE ENERGY's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 83.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 23.6 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 3.3 M |
SUNCOKE ENERGY Technical Analysis
SUNCOKE ENERGY's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SUNCOKE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SUNCOKE ENERGY. In general, you should focus on analyzing SUNCOKE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SUNCOKE ENERGY Predictive Forecast Models
SUNCOKE ENERGY's time-series forecasting models is one of many SUNCOKE ENERGY's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SUNCOKE ENERGY's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SUNCOKE ENERGY
Checking the ongoing alerts about SUNCOKE ENERGY for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SUNCOKE ENERGY help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SUNCOKE ENERGY appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in SUNCOKE Stock
When determining whether SUNCOKE ENERGY offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of SUNCOKE ENERGY's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Suncoke Energy Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Suncoke Energy Stock:Check out SUNCOKE ENERGY Backtesting, SUNCOKE ENERGY Valuation, SUNCOKE ENERGY Correlation, SUNCOKE ENERGY Hype Analysis, SUNCOKE ENERGY Volatility, SUNCOKE ENERGY History as well as SUNCOKE ENERGY Performance. For information on how to trade SUNCOKE Stock refer to our How to Trade SUNCOKE Stock guide.You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.