SPANISH MTN (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0805
| S3Y Stock | 0.07 0.0005 0.71% |
SPANISH |
SPANISH MTN Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0805
The tendency of SPANISH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 0.08 after 90 days |
| 0.07 | 90 days | 0.08 | about 17.13 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SPANISH MTN to stay under 0.08 after 90 days from now is about 17.13 (This SPANISH MTN GLD probability density function shows the probability of SPANISH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SPANISH MTN GLD price to stay between its current price of 0.07 and 0.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SPANISH MTN GLD has a beta of -0.65. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SPANISH MTN are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SPANISH MTN GLD is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SPANISH MTN GLD has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. SPANISH MTN Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SPANISH MTN
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SPANISH MTN GLD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SPANISH MTN's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SPANISH MTN Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SPANISH MTN is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SPANISH MTN's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SPANISH MTN GLD, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SPANISH MTN within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
SPANISH MTN Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SPANISH MTN for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SPANISH MTN GLD can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SPANISH MTN GLD generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SPANISH MTN GLD has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| SPANISH MTN GLD has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| SPANISH MTN GLD has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (965.43 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| SPANISH MTN generates negative cash flow from operations |
SPANISH MTN Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SPANISH Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SPANISH MTN's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SPANISH MTN's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 334 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 40 K |
SPANISH MTN Technical Analysis
SPANISH MTN's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SPANISH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SPANISH MTN GLD. In general, you should focus on analyzing SPANISH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SPANISH MTN Predictive Forecast Models
SPANISH MTN's time-series forecasting models is one of many SPANISH MTN's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SPANISH MTN's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SPANISH MTN GLD
Checking the ongoing alerts about SPANISH MTN for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SPANISH MTN GLD help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SPANISH MTN GLD generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SPANISH MTN GLD has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| SPANISH MTN GLD has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| SPANISH MTN GLD has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (965.43 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| SPANISH MTN generates negative cash flow from operations |
Additional Tools for SPANISH Stock Analysis
When running SPANISH MTN's price analysis, check to measure SPANISH MTN's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SPANISH MTN is operating at the current time. Most of SPANISH MTN's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SPANISH MTN's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SPANISH MTN's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SPANISH MTN to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.