Singapore ReinsuranceLimit (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 34.71
| S49 Stock | 34.80 0.20 0.58% |
Singapore |
Singapore ReinsuranceLimit Target Price Odds to finish over 34.71
The tendency of Singapore Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 34.71 in 90 days |
| 34.80 | 90 days | 34.71 | about 6.92 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Singapore ReinsuranceLimit to stay above 34.71 in 90 days from now is about 6.92 (This Singapore Reinsurance probability density function shows the probability of Singapore Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Singapore ReinsuranceLimit price to stay between 34.71 and its current price of 34.8 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Singapore Reinsurance has a beta of -0.53. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Singapore ReinsuranceLimit are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Singapore Reinsurance is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Singapore Reinsurance has an alpha of 0.2521, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Singapore ReinsuranceLimit Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Singapore ReinsuranceLimit
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Singapore ReinsuranceLimit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Singapore ReinsuranceLimit's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Singapore ReinsuranceLimit Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Singapore ReinsuranceLimit is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Singapore ReinsuranceLimit's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Singapore Reinsurance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Singapore ReinsuranceLimit within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Singapore ReinsuranceLimit Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Singapore Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Singapore ReinsuranceLimit's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Singapore ReinsuranceLimit's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53.3 M |
Singapore ReinsuranceLimit Technical Analysis
Singapore ReinsuranceLimit's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Singapore Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Singapore Reinsurance. In general, you should focus on analyzing Singapore Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Singapore ReinsuranceLimit Predictive Forecast Models
Singapore ReinsuranceLimit's time-series forecasting models is one of many Singapore ReinsuranceLimit's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Singapore ReinsuranceLimit's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Singapore ReinsuranceLimit in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Singapore ReinsuranceLimit's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Singapore ReinsuranceLimit options trading.
Additional Tools for Singapore Stock Analysis
When running Singapore ReinsuranceLimit's price analysis, check to measure Singapore ReinsuranceLimit's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Singapore ReinsuranceLimit is operating at the current time. Most of Singapore ReinsuranceLimit's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Singapore ReinsuranceLimit's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Singapore ReinsuranceLimit's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Singapore ReinsuranceLimit to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.