Standard Lithium (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.81
| S5L Stock | EUR 1.59 0.06 3.64% |
Standard |
Standard Lithium Target Price Odds to finish below 1.81
The tendency of Standard Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 1.81 after 90 days |
| 1.59 | 90 days | 1.81 | about 69.06 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Standard Lithium to stay under € 1.81 after 90 days from now is about 69.06 (This Standard Lithium probability density function shows the probability of Standard Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Standard Lithium price to stay between its current price of € 1.59 and € 1.81 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.57 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Standard Lithium has a beta of -0.63. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Standard Lithium are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Standard Lithium is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Standard Lithium has an alpha of 0.7406, implying that it can generate a 0.74 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Standard Lithium Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Standard Lithium
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Standard Lithium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Standard Lithium Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Standard Lithium is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Standard Lithium's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Standard Lithium, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Standard Lithium within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.74 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Standard Lithium Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Standard Lithium for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Standard Lithium can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Standard Lithium is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Standard Lithium may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Standard Lithium appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Standard Lithium has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (38.1 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (11.81 M). | |
| Standard Lithium has accumulated about 15.47 M in cash with (21.48 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.21. |
Standard Lithium Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Standard Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Standard Lithium's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Standard Lithium's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 166.4 M |
Standard Lithium Technical Analysis
Standard Lithium's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Standard Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Standard Lithium. In general, you should focus on analyzing Standard Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Standard Lithium Predictive Forecast Models
Standard Lithium's time-series forecasting models is one of many Standard Lithium's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Standard Lithium's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Standard Lithium
Checking the ongoing alerts about Standard Lithium for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Standard Lithium help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Standard Lithium is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Standard Lithium may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Standard Lithium appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Standard Lithium has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (38.1 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (11.81 M). | |
| Standard Lithium has accumulated about 15.47 M in cash with (21.48 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.21. |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Standard Stock
When determining whether Standard Lithium offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Standard Lithium's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Standard Lithium Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Standard Lithium Stock:Check out Standard Lithium Backtesting, Standard Lithium Valuation, Standard Lithium Correlation, Standard Lithium Hype Analysis, Standard Lithium Volatility, Standard Lithium History as well as Standard Lithium Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Standard Stock please use our How to Invest in Standard Lithium guide.You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.