Salient Alternative Beta Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.68
| SABCX Fund | USD 12.31 0.07 0.57% |
Salient |
Salient Alternative Target Price Odds to finish below 11.68
The tendency of Salient Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.68 or more in 90 days |
| 12.31 | 90 days | 11.68 | about 23.19 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Salient Alternative to drop to $ 11.68 or more in 90 days from now is about 23.19 (This Salient Alternative Beta probability density function shows the probability of Salient Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Salient Alternative Beta price to stay between $ 11.68 and its current price of $12.31 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.83 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Salient Alternative has a beta of 0.67. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Salient Alternative average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Salient Alternative Beta will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Salient Alternative Beta has an alpha of 0.0057, implying that it can generate a 0.005698 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Salient Alternative Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Salient Alternative
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Salient Alternative Beta. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Salient Alternative's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Salient Alternative Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Salient Alternative is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Salient Alternative's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Salient Alternative Beta, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Salient Alternative within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Salient Alternative Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Salient Alternative for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Salient Alternative Beta can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund maintains about 11.59% of its assets in cash |
Salient Alternative Technical Analysis
Salient Alternative's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Salient Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Salient Alternative Beta. In general, you should focus on analyzing Salient Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Salient Alternative Predictive Forecast Models
Salient Alternative's time-series forecasting models is one of many Salient Alternative's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Salient Alternative's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Salient Alternative Beta
Checking the ongoing alerts about Salient Alternative for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Salient Alternative Beta help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund maintains about 11.59% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Salient Mutual Fund
Salient Alternative financial ratios help investors to determine whether Salient Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Salient with respect to the benefits of owning Salient Alternative security.
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