Saint Jean (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.15
| SABE Stock | EUR 19.70 0.30 1.50% |
Saint |
Saint Jean Target Price Odds to finish below 18.15
The tendency of Saint Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 18.15 or more in 90 days |
| 19.70 | 90 days | 18.15 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Saint Jean to drop to € 18.15 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Saint Jean Groupe probability density function shows the probability of Saint Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Saint Jean Groupe price to stay between € 18.15 and its current price of €19.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Saint Jean Groupe has a beta of -0.16. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Saint Jean are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Saint Jean Groupe is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Saint Jean Groupe has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Saint Jean Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Saint Jean
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Saint Jean Groupe. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Saint Jean Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Saint Jean is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Saint Jean's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Saint Jean Groupe, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Saint Jean within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Saint Jean Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Saint Jean for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Saint Jean Groupe can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Saint Jean Groupe generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Saint Jean Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Saint Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Saint Jean's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Saint Jean's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 79.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 44.4 M |
Saint Jean Technical Analysis
Saint Jean's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Saint Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Saint Jean Groupe. In general, you should focus on analyzing Saint Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Saint Jean Predictive Forecast Models
Saint Jean's time-series forecasting models is one of many Saint Jean's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Saint Jean's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Saint Jean Groupe
Checking the ongoing alerts about Saint Jean for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Saint Jean Groupe help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Saint Jean Groupe generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Saint Stock
Saint Jean financial ratios help investors to determine whether Saint Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Saint with respect to the benefits of owning Saint Jean security.