SAB Finance (Czech Republic) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 974.18

SABFG Stock  CZK 1,040  10.00  0.95%   
SAB Finance's future price is the expected price of SAB Finance instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SAB Finance as performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SAB Finance Backtesting, SAB Finance Valuation, SAB Finance Correlation, SAB Finance Hype Analysis, SAB Finance Volatility, SAB Finance History as well as SAB Finance Performance.
  
Please specify SAB Finance's target price for which you would like SAB Finance odds to be computed.

SAB Finance Target Price Odds to finish over 974.18

The tendency of SAB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  974.18  in 90 days
 1,040 90 days 974.18 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SAB Finance to stay above  974.18  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This SAB Finance as probability density function shows the probability of SAB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SAB Finance as price to stay between  974.18  and its current price of 1040.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SAB Finance has a beta of 0.0073. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SAB Finance average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SAB Finance as will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SAB Finance as has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SAB Finance Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SAB Finance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SAB Finance as. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0391,0401,041
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
973.41974.171,144
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,0401,0411,042
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,0401,0401,040
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SAB Finance. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SAB Finance's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SAB Finance's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SAB Finance as.

SAB Finance Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SAB Finance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SAB Finance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SAB Finance as, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SAB Finance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
8.22
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

SAB Finance Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SAB Finance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SAB Finance as can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SAB Finance as generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

SAB Finance Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SAB Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SAB Finance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SAB Finance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0782
Forward Annual Dividend Rate81.28

SAB Finance Technical Analysis

SAB Finance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SAB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SAB Finance as. In general, you should focus on analyzing SAB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SAB Finance Predictive Forecast Models

SAB Finance's time-series forecasting models is one of many SAB Finance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SAB Finance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SAB Finance as

Checking the ongoing alerts about SAB Finance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SAB Finance as help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SAB Finance as generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for SAB Stock Analysis

When running SAB Finance's price analysis, check to measure SAB Finance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SAB Finance is operating at the current time. Most of SAB Finance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SAB Finance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SAB Finance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SAB Finance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.