SA Corporate (South Africa) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 298.76

SAC Stock   290.00  3.00  1.02%   
SA Corporate's future price is the expected price of SA Corporate instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SA Corporate Real performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SA Corporate Backtesting, SA Corporate Valuation, SA Corporate Correlation, SA Corporate Hype Analysis, SA Corporate Volatility, SA Corporate History as well as SA Corporate Performance.
  
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SA Corporate Target Price Odds to finish over 298.76

The tendency of SAC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  298.76  or more in 90 days
 290.00 90 days 298.76 
about 18.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SA Corporate to move over  298.76  or more in 90 days from now is about 18.44 (This SA Corporate Real probability density function shows the probability of SAC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SA Corporate Real price to stay between its current price of  290.00  and  298.76  at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SA Corporate Real has a beta of -0.19. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SA Corporate are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SA Corporate Real is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SA Corporate Real has an alpha of 0.1014, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SA Corporate Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SA Corporate

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SA Corporate Real. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
288.23290.00291.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
242.67244.44319.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
292.89294.66296.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
273.18284.75296.32
Details

SA Corporate Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SA Corporate is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SA Corporate's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SA Corporate Real, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SA Corporate within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.19
σ
Overall volatility
10.36
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

SA Corporate Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SA Corporate for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SA Corporate Real can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

SA Corporate Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SAC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SA Corporate's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SA Corporate's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.5 B
Cash And Short Term Investments135.8 M

SA Corporate Technical Analysis

SA Corporate's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SAC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SA Corporate Real. In general, you should focus on analyzing SAC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SA Corporate Predictive Forecast Models

SA Corporate's time-series forecasting models is one of many SA Corporate's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SA Corporate's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SA Corporate Real

Checking the ongoing alerts about SA Corporate for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SA Corporate Real help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in SAC Stock

SA Corporate financial ratios help investors to determine whether SAC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SAC with respect to the benefits of owning SA Corporate security.