Steady Safe (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 277.62
| SAFE Stock | IDR 298.00 4.00 1.32% |
Steady |
Steady Safe Target Price Odds to finish over 277.62
The tendency of Steady Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 277.62 in 90 days |
| 298.00 | 90 days | 277.62 | about 91.98 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Steady Safe to stay above 277.62 in 90 days from now is about 91.98 (This Steady Safe TBK probability density function shows the probability of Steady Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Steady Safe TBK price to stay between 277.62 and its current price of 298.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Steady Safe TBK has a beta of -0.57. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Steady Safe are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Steady Safe TBK is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Steady Safe TBK has an alpha of 0.4232, implying that it can generate a 0.42 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Steady Safe Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Steady Safe
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Steady Safe TBK. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Steady Safe Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Steady Safe is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Steady Safe's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Steady Safe TBK, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Steady Safe within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 53.73 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Steady Safe Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Steady Safe for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Steady Safe TBK can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Steady Safe TBK had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 91.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Steady Safe Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Steady Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Steady Safe's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Steady Safe's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 615.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.6 B |
Steady Safe Technical Analysis
Steady Safe's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Steady Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Steady Safe TBK. In general, you should focus on analyzing Steady Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Steady Safe Predictive Forecast Models
Steady Safe's time-series forecasting models is one of many Steady Safe's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Steady Safe's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Steady Safe TBK
Checking the ongoing alerts about Steady Safe for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Steady Safe TBK help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Steady Safe TBK had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 91.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Steady Stock
Steady Safe financial ratios help investors to determine whether Steady Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Steady with respect to the benefits of owning Steady Safe security.