Safe T (Israel) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 472.88

SAFE Stock   484.00  25.00  5.45%   
Safe T's future price is the expected price of Safe T instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Safe T Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Safe T Backtesting, Safe T Valuation, Safe T Correlation, Safe T Hype Analysis, Safe T Volatility, Safe T History as well as Safe T Performance.
  
Please specify Safe T's target price for which you would like Safe T odds to be computed.

Safe T Target Price Odds to finish below 472.88

The tendency of Safe Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  472.88  or more in 90 days
 484.00 90 days 472.88 
about 27.31
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Safe T to drop to  472.88  or more in 90 days from now is about 27.31 (This Safe T Group probability density function shows the probability of Safe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Safe T Group price to stay between  472.88  and its current price of 484.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.83 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Safe T Group has a beta of -0.58. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Safe T are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Safe T Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Safe T Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Safe T Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Safe T

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Safe T Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
474.92484.00493.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
463.80472.88532.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
450.86459.94469.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
331.68478.33624.99
Details

Safe T Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Safe T is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Safe T's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Safe T Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Safe T within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.69
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.58
σ
Overall volatility
205.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Safe T Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Safe T for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Safe T Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Safe T Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 1.1 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Safe T Group has accumulated about 1.61 M in cash with (5.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08.

Safe T Technical Analysis

Safe T's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Safe Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Safe T Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Safe Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Safe T Predictive Forecast Models

Safe T's time-series forecasting models is one of many Safe T's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Safe T's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Safe T Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Safe T for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Safe T Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Safe T Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 1.1 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Safe T Group has accumulated about 1.61 M in cash with (5.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08.

Other Information on Investing in Safe Stock

Safe T financial ratios help investors to determine whether Safe Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Safe with respect to the benefits of owning Safe T security.