Safehold Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.82
| SAFE Stock | USD 20.72 0.44 2.08% |
Safehold |
Safehold Target Price Odds to finish below 15.82
The tendency of Safehold Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 15.82 or more in 90 days |
| 20.72 | 90 days | 15.82 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Safehold to drop to $ 15.82 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Safehold probability density function shows the probability of Safehold Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Safehold price to stay between $ 15.82 and its current price of $20.72 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.93 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Safehold has a beta of 0.53. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Safehold average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Safehold will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Safehold has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Safehold Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Safehold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Safehold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Safehold Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Safehold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Safehold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Safehold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Safehold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Safehold Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Safehold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Safehold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Safehold generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 352.58 M. Net Loss for the year was (54.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 276.26 M. | |
| Safehold has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of October 2024 Safehold paid $ 0.177 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: UBS AM a distinct business unit of UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS LLC Acquires 254,227 Shares of Safehold Inc. - MarketBeat |
Safehold Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Safehold Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Safehold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Safehold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 66.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 28.5 M |
Safehold Technical Analysis
Safehold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Safehold Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Safehold. In general, you should focus on analyzing Safehold Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Safehold Predictive Forecast Models
Safehold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Safehold's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Safehold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Safehold
Checking the ongoing alerts about Safehold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Safehold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Safehold generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 352.58 M. Net Loss for the year was (54.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 276.26 M. | |
| Safehold has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of October 2024 Safehold paid $ 0.177 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: UBS AM a distinct business unit of UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS LLC Acquires 254,227 Shares of Safehold Inc. - MarketBeat |
Check out Safehold Backtesting, Safehold Valuation, Safehold Correlation, Safehold Hype Analysis, Safehold Volatility, Safehold History as well as Safehold Performance. For information on how to trade Safehold Stock refer to our How to Trade Safehold Stock guide.You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Other Specialized REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Safehold. If investors know Safehold will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Safehold listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.2 | Dividend Share 0.708 | Earnings Share 1.77 | Revenue Per Share 5.626 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.06 |
The market value of Safehold is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Safehold that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Safehold's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Safehold's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Safehold's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Safehold's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Safehold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Safehold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Safehold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.