Sag Holdings Limited Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.75
| SAG Stock | 2.88 0.22 7.10% |
SAG |
SAG Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 2.75
The tendency of SAG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 2.75 in 90 days |
| 2.88 | 90 days | 2.75 | about 73.72 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SAG Holdings to stay above 2.75 in 90 days from now is about 73.72 (This SAG Holdings Limited probability density function shows the probability of SAG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SAG Holdings Limited price to stay between 2.75 and its current price of 2.88 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Considering the 90-day investment horizon SAG Holdings has a beta of 0.22. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SAG Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SAG Holdings Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SAG Holdings Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. SAG Holdings Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for SAG Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SAG Holdings Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SAG Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SAG Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SAG Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SAG Holdings Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SAG Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -2.74 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.37 |
SAG Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SAG Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SAG Holdings Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SAG Holdings Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SAG Holdings Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 80.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Bylvay montre une amlioration soutenue en termes de svrit des dmangeaisons et de taux dacides biliaires sriques chez les patients atteints de CIFP et du SAG |
SAG Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SAG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SAG Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SAG Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
SAG Holdings Technical Analysis
SAG Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SAG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SAG Holdings Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing SAG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SAG Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
SAG Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many SAG Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SAG Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SAG Holdings Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about SAG Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SAG Holdings Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SAG Holdings Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SAG Holdings Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 80.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Bylvay montre une amlioration soutenue en termes de svrit des dmangeaisons et de taux dacides biliaires sriques chez les patients atteints de CIFP et du SAG |
Check out SAG Holdings Backtesting, SAG Holdings Valuation, SAG Holdings Correlation, SAG Holdings Hype Analysis, SAG Holdings Volatility, SAG Holdings History as well as SAG Holdings Performance. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Is Wholesale space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SAG Holdings. If investors know SAG will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SAG Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.55) | Earnings Share 0.16 | Revenue Per Share 6.613 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.032 | Return On Assets 0.0398 |
The market value of SAG Holdings Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SAG that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SAG Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SAG Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SAG Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SAG Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SAG Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SAG Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SAG Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.