Sentinel Small Pany Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 6.73

SAGWX Fund  USD 6.73  0.02  0.30%   
Sentinel Small's future price is the expected price of Sentinel Small instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sentinel Small Pany performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sentinel Small Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Sentinel Small Correlation, Sentinel Small Hype Analysis, Sentinel Small Volatility, Sentinel Small History as well as Sentinel Small Performance.
  
Please specify Sentinel Small's target price for which you would like Sentinel Small odds to be computed.

Sentinel Small Target Price Odds to finish below 6.73

The tendency of Sentinel Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 6.73 90 days 6.73 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sentinel Small to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Sentinel Small Pany probability density function shows the probability of Sentinel Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sentinel Small has a beta of 0.18. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sentinel Small average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sentinel Small Pany will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sentinel Small Pany has an alpha of 0.1025, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sentinel Small Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sentinel Small

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sentinel Small Pany. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sentinel Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.656.737.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.566.647.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.576.657.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.386.626.87
Details

Sentinel Small Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sentinel Small is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sentinel Small's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sentinel Small Pany, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sentinel Small within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.18
σ
Overall volatility
0.19
Ir
Information ratio 0

Sentinel Small Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sentinel Small for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sentinel Small Pany can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.38% of its assets in stocks

Sentinel Small Technical Analysis

Sentinel Small's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sentinel Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sentinel Small Pany. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sentinel Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sentinel Small Predictive Forecast Models

Sentinel Small's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sentinel Small's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sentinel Small's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sentinel Small Pany

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sentinel Small for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sentinel Small Pany help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.38% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Sentinel Mutual Fund

Sentinel Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sentinel Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sentinel with respect to the benefits of owning Sentinel Small security.
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