Sahara Energy Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.005952
| SAHRF Stock | USD 0.01 0.00 0.00% |
Sahara |
Sahara Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 0.005952
The tendency of Sahara Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.01 | about 5.51 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sahara Energy to move over $ 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.51 (This Sahara Energy probability density function shows the probability of Sahara Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sahara Energy price to stay between its current price of $ 0.01 and $ 0.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.6 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sahara Energy has a beta of -9.26. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Sahara Energy are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Sahara Energy is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Sahara Energy has an alpha of 7.1689, implying that it can generate a 7.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sahara Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sahara Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sahara Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sahara Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sahara Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sahara Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sahara Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sahara Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 7.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -9.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Sahara Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sahara Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sahara Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sahara Energy is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Sahara Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Sahara Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 208.88 K. | |
| Sahara Energy has accumulated about 8.25 M in cash with (525.6 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Sahara Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sahara Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sahara Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sahara Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 289.7 M |
Sahara Energy Technical Analysis
Sahara Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sahara Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sahara Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sahara Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sahara Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Sahara Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sahara Energy's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sahara Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sahara Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sahara Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sahara Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sahara Energy is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Sahara Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Sahara Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 208.88 K. | |
| Sahara Energy has accumulated about 8.25 M in cash with (525.6 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Sahara Pink Sheet
Sahara Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sahara Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sahara with respect to the benefits of owning Sahara Energy security.